ISIS attacks on Paris, Russian plane, Beirut escalate the threat.
The worst terrorist attack in Europe in over a decade was an “act of war” by ISIS, according to French President Francois Hollande. It’s not clear yet what intelligence Hollande was basing that statement on, but ISIS has also claimed responsibility for the attack, calling it the “first of the storm.”
The attack comes two weeks after the bombing of a Russian passenger jet leaving Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt, which was claimed by an ISIS affiliate in Sinai—a claim that seems somewhat credible given communications between the group and ISIS operatives in Syria that were intercepted by British and U.S. intelligence. It also comes a day after a pair of explosions killed 43 people near Beirut, also claimed by ISIS. In that case, a captured would-be bomber told investigators he had been recruited by the group.
If all these attacks, off the main battlefield in Syria and Iraq, were indeed the work of ISIS, then this month makes a major escalation in the group’s global threat and reach. Previously, the prevailing understanding has been that unlike al-Qaida, the Islamic State, as its name suggests, was less concerned with organizing attacks on countries outside the Muslim world and prioritized the accumulation of territory and the enforcement of its own harsh brand of Islamic law within that territory, and the extermination of religious minorities. Its affiliates in Afghanistan, Yemen, Sinai, and Libya have followed a similar playbook.
AdvertisementUntil recently, ISIS’s signature attacks against westerners were videotaped beheadings of hostages withinits territory. This is why many in the intelligence community and law enforcement officials have maintained that despite ISIS’s rapid territorial gains and mass atrocities, al-Qaida and its affiliates are the greater threat to the United States. The events of this month are going to cause some serious reassessment of that conventional wisdom.
Advertisement Advertisement AdvertisementHollande also said that the attacks were “planned and organized from abroad with help from inside France.” Again, it’s not clear what intelligence he was basing that on, but it’s a crucial distinction. Previous attacks in western countries linked to ISIS, whether the Kosher supermarket hostage killing in Paris in January or the attempted attack on a Muhammad cartoon contest in Garland, Texas in May, were the work of self-motivated extremists inspired by ISIS. The group’s commanders in Syria played little or no role in organizing them. While difficult to prevent and often deadly, this type of attack rarely reaches the scale or organization of what we saw yesterday in Paris—which in its tactics and devastation recalled the highly-organized Mumbai attacks of 2008.
AdvertisementIt’s also worth noting that the attacks come after a very bad week for ISIS on the battlefield. The group lost the northern Iraqi city of Sinjar to U.S.-backed Kurdish forces, cutting a supply route between the group’s capital in Raqqa, Syria, and its Iraqi stronghold in Mosul. In western Syria, ISIS’s year long siege on a key airbase was broken by Russian-backed Syrian troops. A drone strike also appears to have killed one of its best-known militants, the British executioner Mohammed Emwazi, aka “Jihadi John.”
AdvertisementThe developments were enough that President Obama felt comfortable making a statement yesterday before the Paris attacks, which he is now under fire for, that ISIS had been “contained.” Given what we’ve seen from other militant groups, if ISIS begins to face sustained setbacks on the battlefield and lose significant amounts of territory, the risk of terrorist attacks off the battlefield may actually increase not diminish. ISIS’s rapid rise has flummoxed the many governments arrayed against it for two years now, but up until this point its been viewed primarily as a threat to the stability of its own region. Now, it’s something else entirely.
Read more of Slate’s coverage of the Paris attacks.
Tweet Share Share Comment(责任编辑:新闻中心)
-
Garmin Fenix 8 vs. Apple Watch Ultra: The Fenix wins big on battery life
Garmin's got a new flagship in its rugged smartwatch category, the Garmin Fenix 8. The company's Fen ...[详细] -
广州乡村教师看过来!免费提升学历机会来了_南方+_南方plus近日,广州市教育局在官网发布《关于开展2024年“乡村教师学历提升计划”报名工作的通知》下称《通知》),指出到2025年,全市幼儿园专任教 ...[详细]
-
广州乡村教师看过来!免费提升学历机会来了_南方+_南方plus近日,广州市教育局在官网发布《关于开展2024年“乡村教师学历提升计划”报名工作的通知》下称《通知》),指出到2025年,全市幼儿园专任教 ...[详细]
-
本报讯 在连续数日强降雨天气影响下,震后地质灾害呈现多发趋势的宝兴再度出现险情。昨10)日下午5时许,宝兴县穆坪镇沙湾头烈士陵园所处山坡发生一起山体整体滑坡,垮塌方量初步预计约为7千方,造成山下1栋房 ...[详细]
-
驿站备有消暑物品供大家取用本报讯8月25日中午,烈日当头,热浪滚滚。环卫工人王芳走进雨城区青江街道汉碑路社区户外劳动服务站点汉驿站,从冰箱里拿出当天的午饭。“我一上午都在马路两侧来回保洁,中午到驿站休 ...[详细]
-
雅安日报讯7月30日,雨城区工商局携手区保护消费者委员会、区个体私营经济协会和部分企业代表看望慰问驻雅某部队官兵,向他们致以诚挚的敬意和节日的祝贺,并送去了慰问品、慰问金。今年,雨城区工商局以“八一” ...[详细]
-
广东援疆在喀什创新开设广东专家门诊日,每周三上午举行_南方+_南方plus近日,中山大学附属喀什医院南疆国家区域医疗中心)一楼门诊大厅内人头攒动,很多居民早早来到义诊区域,在各个专家诊台前提前排好了队 ...[详细]
-
6亩塘7个月赚51万元!一个门外汉竟用工程思维连续养成饲料鳜
6亩塘7个月赚51万元!一个门外汉竟用工程思维连续养成饲料鳜_饲料鳜;鳜鱼;饲料;水产;广东_南方+_南方plus新市场,新机遇,新未来!首届中国鳜鱼产业高质量发展论坛暨饲料鳜高端品牌大会,拟定于20 ...[详细] -
Ruling bloc seeks tougher sentences for deepfake sex crimes
People Power Party Chair Han Dong-hoon speaks during an emergency meeting of government officials an ...[详细] -
打造“绿美龙门·花美乡村”,麻榨镇驻镇帮扶工作队开展植树清淤行动
春暖花开,万物复苏,植树正当时。为深入推进绿美广东生态建设,贯彻落实“1310”具体部署,按照龙门县委关于“绿美龙门·花美乡村”生态建设的工作要求,3月5-6日,麻榨镇驻镇帮扶工作队暨东安村党总支部开 ...[详细]